You can add Jim Rice to the list of marginal Hall of Fame players whose careers magically improved themselves in retirement. Fifteen years after Rice’s HOF candidacy netted him less than 30 percent of the available vote, he was welcomed to the Hall on Monday after polling at 76.4 percent. It takes a 75 percent approval rating to go in.
What happened? Well, on a basic level, you already know what happened: Rice’s early low percentage gradually grew to the point of semi-respectability, then finally crested above 50 percent in 2006, and then gained momentum until he garnered enough votes to be enshrined.
And you also know the one unassailable fact in this docudrama: Rice didn’t play one additional game during that time. He got no better. He got older, but no better. His numbers didn’t improve. His career totals were not suddenly inflated.
It’s one of the questions I’ve been most often asked as a Hall voter ( and for the record, I voted for Rickey Henderson, and Henderson alone, on this most recent ballot): How does a guy go from solid-career-with-no-Hall-prospects to elated (or bemused) inductee … all while being retired?
I’ll give you the short answer and hang the details: The Hall voters are notoriously, proudly unpredictable in their individual takes. In the absence of any firm criteria for selection, voters happily reserve the right to change their minds at any time, for any reason, even if that reason is grounded in unreasonableness. Some explain themselves, some don’t. At any rate, they’re not required to say a word about why they did what they did.
In the case of Rice, it could very well be that a few dozen saw how close Rice got last year, said to themselves, “What the heck — he’s right there,” and checked the line next to his name. It’s ludicrous, of course, and it has nothing to do with Rice’s career — very good, but not HOF-worthy — but that’s the process.
As a candidate, you don’t come up for Hall consideration only once; you come up 15 different times, assuming you pull at least a 5 percent vote each year. And the truth is, writers are as subject to whim, outside argument and plain useless sentiment as anybody else. Give them 15 different potential sets of parameters, and all bets are off.
I’ve always found the votes fascinating for what they reveal. This year’s results on Henderson — as well as the totals for Tony Gwynn and Cal Ripken Jr. last year — make it clear that a small cadre of voters will never allow anyone to be inducted unanimously. It has nothing to do with Hall-worthiness, or any of that rot. It’s about tradition and the fact that no person elected through the normal voting process has ever been unanimous.
On the matter of Jim Rice, it is equally clear that a bunch of voters who were right about Rice for 14 years suddenly decided they were going the other way. It’s their prerogative, of course. My prerogative? I’d raise the threshold for induction to 85 percent of the ballots cast. That’s a crazy-high bar to set. It would bar entry to all but the most definitive, no-argument Hall of Famers.
And that, quite naturally, would be the point. Jim Rice back-doors his way in after 15 years, and no disrespect at all to the man or his career — but let’s be clear about what DIDN’T happen during those years. He didn’t get any better.